Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District with 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster in the November general election. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration in the Delta region and portions of Jackson, where Democratic candidates have maintained large margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the district’s structural partisan advantage, Thompson’s long incumbency, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national midterm shift altering turnout in core Democratic precincts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$37,901 Vol.
$37,901 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$37,901 Vol.
$37,901 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$21,974 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$15,927 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District with 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster in the November general election. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration in the Delta region and portions of Jackson, where Democratic candidates have maintained large margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the district’s structural partisan advantage, Thompson’s long incumbency, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national midterm shift altering turnout in core Democratic precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,901Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District with 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster in the November general election. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration in the Delta region and portions of Jackson, where Democratic candidates have maintained large margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the district’s structural partisan advantage, Thompson’s long incumbency, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national midterm shift altering turnout in core Democratic precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,901Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District with 86 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster in the November general election. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its concentration in the Delta region and portions of Jackson, where Democratic candidates have maintained large margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the district’s structural partisan advantage, Thompson’s long incumbency, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring a Republican upset. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national midterm shift altering turnout in core Democratic precincts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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