Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage and incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's decisive primary victory on May 19 drive the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Risch secured the nomination with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the second consecutive cycle. The state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior Senate results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP, leaves little room for a Democratic upset. Trader positioning aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November general election. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$17,465 Vol.
$17,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
92%
Democratico
7%
$17,465 Vol.
$17,465 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$12,247 Vol.
92%
Democratico
$5,218 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage and incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's decisive primary victory on May 19 drive the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Risch secured the nomination with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the second consecutive cycle. The state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior Senate results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP, leaves little room for a Democratic upset. Trader positioning aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November general election. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$17,465Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage and incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's decisive primary victory on May 19 drive the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Risch secured the nomination with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the second consecutive cycle. The state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior Senate results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP, leaves little room for a Democratic upset. Trader positioning aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November general election. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,465Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage and incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's decisive primary victory on May 19 drive the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Risch secured the nomination with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the second consecutive cycle. The state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior Senate results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP, leaves little room for a Democratic upset. Trader positioning aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November general election. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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