Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage and Jim Risch’s status as a three-term incumbent with seniority on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1980, and recent polling averages show Risch ahead of independent Todd Achilles by roughly 18 points amid limited name recognition and fundraising for the challenger. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed the field without shifting fundamentals. Achilles’s independent positioning and veteran background have drawn some support, yet structural factors such as consistent Republican primary strength and historical margins above 30 points limit any realistic path to victory absent major late developments like health events or unforeseen national shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Idaho
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democratico 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,321 Vol.
$33,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democratico
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democratico 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,321 Vol.
$33,321 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,749 Vol.
96%
Democratico
$14,397 Vol.
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage and Jim Risch’s status as a three-term incumbent with seniority on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1980, and recent polling averages show Risch ahead of independent Todd Achilles by roughly 18 points amid limited name recognition and fundraising for the challenger. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed the field without shifting fundamentals. Achilles’s independent positioning and veteran background have drawn some support, yet structural factors such as consistent Republican primary strength and historical margins above 30 points limit any realistic path to victory absent major late developments like health events or unforeseen national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$33,321Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage and Jim Risch’s status as a three-term incumbent with seniority on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1980, and recent polling averages show Risch ahead of independent Todd Achilles by roughly 18 points amid limited name recognition and fundraising for the challenger. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed the field without shifting fundamentals. Achilles’s independent positioning and veteran background have drawn some support, yet structural factors such as consistent Republican primary strength and historical margins above 30 points limit any realistic path to victory absent major late developments like health events or unforeseen national shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,321Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s entrenched Republican advantage and Jim Risch’s status as a three-term incumbent with seniority on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1980, and recent polling averages show Risch ahead of independent Todd Achilles by roughly 18 points amid limited name recognition and fundraising for the challenger. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee further narrowed the field without shifting fundamentals. Achilles’s independent positioning and veteran background have drawn some support, yet structural factors such as consistent Republican primary strength and historical margins above 30 points limit any realistic path to victory absent major late developments like health events or unforeseen national shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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