Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$12,529 Vol.
$12,529 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
92%
Democratico
8%
$12,529 Vol.
$12,529 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$8,437 Vol.
92%
Democratico
$4,092 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$12,529Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,529Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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