Major left-wing parties including La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party have declined or remain deeply divided over participation in the proposed 11 October 2026 primary organized by smaller groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après and Debout!, leaving the event without the broad New Popular Front coalition support originally envisioned. Internal consultations, separate party strategies ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, and explicit non-participation announcements have reinforced expectations that the vote will not proceed. Traders reflect this consensus by pricing cancellation near 94 percent, while listed candidates such as Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin trade at minimal levels. The outcome could shift only if holdout parties reverse course or the remaining organizers force a narrow contest despite limited backing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnnullato 93.7%
Clémentine Autain 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$198,617 Vol.
$198,617 Vol.
11 ott 2026
Annullato
94%
Clémentine Autain
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Annullato 93.7%
Clémentine Autain 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$198,617 Vol.
$198,617 Vol.
11 ott 2026
Annullato
$63,324 Vol.
94%
Clémentine Autain
$7,252 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,046 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,551 Vol.
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Major left-wing parties including La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party have declined or remain deeply divided over participation in the proposed 11 October 2026 primary organized by smaller groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après and Debout!, leaving the event without the broad New Popular Front coalition support originally envisioned. Internal consultations, separate party strategies ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, and explicit non-participation announcements have reinforced expectations that the vote will not proceed. Traders reflect this consensus by pricing cancellation near 94 percent, while listed candidates such as Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin trade at minimal levels. The outcome could shift only if holdout parties reverse course or the remaining organizers force a narrow contest despite limited backing.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$198,617Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Major left-wing parties including La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party have declined or remain deeply divided over participation in the proposed 11 October 2026 primary organized by smaller groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après and Debout!, leaving the event without the broad New Popular Front coalition support originally envisioned. Internal consultations, separate party strategies ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, and explicit non-participation announcements have reinforced expectations that the vote will not proceed. Traders reflect this consensus by pricing cancellation near 94 percent, while listed candidates such as Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin trade at minimal levels. The outcome could shift only if holdout parties reverse course or the remaining organizers force a narrow contest despite limited backing.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$198,617Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Major left-wing parties including La France Insoumise and the Socialist Party have declined or remain deeply divided over participation in the proposed 11 October 2026 primary organized by smaller groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après and Debout!, leaving the event without the broad New Popular Front coalition support originally envisioned. Internal consultations, separate party strategies ahead of the 2027 presidential contest, and explicit non-participation announcements have reinforced expectations that the vote will not proceed. Traders reflect this consensus by pricing cancellation near 94 percent, while listed candidates such as Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin trade at minimal levels. The outcome could shift only if holdout parties reverse course or the remaining organizers force a narrow contest despite limited backing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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