The 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate among participating groups such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, L'Après, and Génération.s, faces substantial uncertainty over full participation. Socialist Party internal divisions intensified after March 2026 municipal elections, with leader Olivier Faure encountering backlash over alliances and the party skipping key coordination meetings, prompting references to a vague "process" rather than a firm primary. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the effort entirely, while broader coalition strains limit the event's viability. These factors have elevated trader consensus on cancellation near even odds, while positioning Ecologist national secretary Marine Tondelier as the frontrunner among declared contenders due to her central role in the November 2025 launch alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnnullato 51%
Marine Tondelier 15%
François Ruffin 6.6%
Clémentine Autain 2.1%
$92,959 Vol.
$92,959 Vol.
11 ott 2026
Annullato
51%
Marine Tondelier
15%
François Ruffin
7%
Clémentine Autain
2%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
1%
Lydie Massard
1%
Annullato 51%
Marine Tondelier 15%
François Ruffin 6.6%
Clémentine Autain 2.1%
$92,959 Vol.
$92,959 Vol.
11 ott 2026
Annullato
$26,054 Vol.
51%
Marine Tondelier
$37,624 Vol.
15%
François Ruffin
$22,992 Vol.
7%
Clémentine Autain
$4,215 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$361 Vol.
1%
Lydie Massard
$1,712 Vol.
1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate among participating groups such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, L'Après, and Génération.s, faces substantial uncertainty over full participation. Socialist Party internal divisions intensified after March 2026 municipal elections, with leader Olivier Faure encountering backlash over alliances and the party skipping key coordination meetings, prompting references to a vague "process" rather than a firm primary. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the effort entirely, while broader coalition strains limit the event's viability. These factors have elevated trader consensus on cancellation near even odds, while positioning Ecologist national secretary Marine Tondelier as the frontrunner among declared contenders due to her central role in the November 2025 launch alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these dynamics.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$92,959Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate among participating groups such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, L'Après, and Génération.s, faces substantial uncertainty over full participation. Socialist Party internal divisions intensified after March 2026 municipal elections, with leader Olivier Faure encountering backlash over alliances and the party skipping key coordination meetings, prompting references to a vague "process" rather than a firm primary. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the effort entirely, while broader coalition strains limit the event's viability. These factors have elevated trader consensus on cancellation near even odds, while positioning Ecologist national secretary Marine Tondelier as the frontrunner among declared contenders due to her central role in the November 2025 launch alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these dynamics.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$92,959Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate among participating groups such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, L'Après, and Génération.s, faces substantial uncertainty over full participation. Socialist Party internal divisions intensified after March 2026 municipal elections, with leader Olivier Faure encountering backlash over alliances and the party skipping key coordination meetings, prompting references to a vague "process" rather than a firm primary. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the effort entirely, while broader coalition strains limit the event's viability. These factors have elevated trader consensus on cancellation near even odds, while positioning Ecologist national secretary Marine Tondelier as the frontrunner among declared contenders due to her central role in the November 2025 launch alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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