The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote decisively rejected participation in the planned October 11 United Left primary, opting instead for a closed internal contest with Place Publique and the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. This fractured the original coalition of Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! that had launched the process in November 2025, leaving the event without the breadth needed for viability. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had already declined involvement, while recent candidate withdrawals and procedural barriers further undermined momentum. Traders view these structural fractures as making cancellation the overwhelming consensus outcome, though a late reversal by remaining smaller parties or an unforeseen agreement could still alter the trajectory before any formal announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnnullato 92.0%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,965 Vol.
$227,965 Vol.
10 ott 2026
Annullato
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Annullato 92.0%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,965 Vol.
$227,965 Vol.
10 ott 2026
Annullato
$91,955 Vol.
92%
François Ruffin
$31,157 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$50,040 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote decisively rejected participation in the planned October 11 United Left primary, opting instead for a closed internal contest with Place Publique and the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. This fractured the original coalition of Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! that had launched the process in November 2025, leaving the event without the breadth needed for viability. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had already declined involvement, while recent candidate withdrawals and procedural barriers further undermined momentum. Traders view these structural fractures as making cancellation the overwhelming consensus outcome, though a late reversal by remaining smaller parties or an unforeseen agreement could still alter the trajectory before any formal announcement.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$227,965Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote decisively rejected participation in the planned October 11 United Left primary, opting instead for a closed internal contest with Place Publique and the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. This fractured the original coalition of Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! that had launched the process in November 2025, leaving the event without the breadth needed for viability. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had already declined involvement, while recent candidate withdrawals and procedural barriers further undermined momentum. Traders view these structural fractures as making cancellation the overwhelming consensus outcome, though a late reversal by remaining smaller parties or an unforeseen agreement could still alter the trajectory before any formal announcement.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$227,965Data di fine
11 ott 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote decisively rejected participation in the planned October 11 United Left primary, opting instead for a closed internal contest with Place Publique and the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. This fractured the original coalition of Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout! that had launched the process in November 2025, leaving the event without the breadth needed for viability. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party had already declined involvement, while recent candidate withdrawals and procedural barriers further undermined momentum. Traders view these structural fractures as making cancellation the overwhelming consensus outcome, though a late reversal by remaining smaller parties or an unforeseen agreement could still alter the trajectory before any formal announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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