Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a significant edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district heading into the November general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an implied probability near 80 percent. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term, benefits from the district's underlying partisan composition and his established record since switching parties in 2020. Democrat Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor and the June primary nominee, represents the main opposition but faces structural challenges typical for challengers in this seat. Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ currently rate the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market pricing. Limited new developments have occurred since the primary, leaving the race stable absent major polling shifts or external events before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NJ-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$19,275 Vol.
$19,275 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
80%
Partito Democratico
19%
$19,275 Vol.
$19,275 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$11,317 Vol.
80%
Partito Democratico
$7,959 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a significant edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district heading into the November general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an implied probability near 80 percent. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term, benefits from the district's underlying partisan composition and his established record since switching parties in 2020. Democrat Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor and the June primary nominee, represents the main opposition but faces structural challenges typical for challengers in this seat. Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ currently rate the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market pricing. Limited new developments have occurred since the primary, leaving the race stable absent major polling shifts or external events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$19,275Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a significant edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district heading into the November general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an implied probability near 80 percent. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term, benefits from the district's underlying partisan composition and his established record since switching parties in 2020. Democrat Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor and the June primary nominee, represents the main opposition but faces structural challenges typical for challengers in this seat. Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ currently rate the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market pricing. Limited new developments have occurred since the primary, leaving the race stable absent major polling shifts or external events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,275Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a significant edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district heading into the November general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party an implied probability near 80 percent. Van Drew, seeking a fifth term, benefits from the district's underlying partisan composition and his established record since switching parties in 2020. Democrat Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor and the June primary nominee, represents the main opposition but faces structural challenges typical for challengers in this seat. Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ currently rate the contest as Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market pricing. Limited new developments have occurred since the primary, leaving the race stable absent major polling shifts or external events before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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