Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, first elected in 1996, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline, Aderholt's long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Shifts in odds would require unusual developments such as a major candidate-specific event or an unprecedented national political realignment within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAL-04 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
AL-04 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$38,121 Vol.
$38,121 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Robert Aderholt (R)
98%
Amanda Pusczek (D)
<1%
$38,121 Vol.
$38,121 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Robert Aderholt (R)
$19,957 Vol.
98%
Amanda Pusczek (D)
$18,164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, first elected in 1996, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline, Aderholt's long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Shifts in odds would require unusual developments such as a major candidate-specific event or an unprecedented national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$38,121Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, first elected in 1996, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline, Aderholt's long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Shifts in odds would require unusual developments such as a major candidate-specific event or an unprecedented national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,121Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Robert Aderholt, first elected in 1996, secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Pusczek in the November general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with the district's partisan baseline, Aderholt's long tenure, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Shifts in odds would require unusual developments such as a major candidate-specific event or an unprecedented national political realignment within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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