Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Jason Gibbs in the November general election for California's 27th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance, reflected in the district's partisan voting index and recent election results. Whitesides benefits from incumbency, unified party support after consolidating Democratic primary votes, and the state's overall political environment favoring Democrats in most House races. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed California districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national GOP surge, significant local turnout shifts, or unforeseen developments such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event to overcome the structural advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-27 House Election Winner
CA-27 House Election Winner
$12,583 Vol.
$12,583 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$12,583 Vol.
$12,583 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,022 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$7,561 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Jason Gibbs in the November general election for California's 27th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance, reflected in the district's partisan voting index and recent election results. Whitesides benefits from incumbency, unified party support after consolidating Democratic primary votes, and the state's overall political environment favoring Democrats in most House races. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed California districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national GOP surge, significant local turnout shifts, or unforeseen developments such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event to overcome the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$12,583Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Jason Gibbs in the November general election for California's 27th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance, reflected in the district's partisan voting index and recent election results. Whitesides benefits from incumbency, unified party support after consolidating Democratic primary votes, and the state's overall political environment favoring Democrats in most House races. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed California districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national GOP surge, significant local turnout shifts, or unforeseen developments such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event to overcome the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,583Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Jason Gibbs in the November general election for California's 27th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance, reflected in the district's partisan voting index and recent election results. Whitesides benefits from incumbency, unified party support after consolidating Democratic primary votes, and the state's overall political environment favoring Democrats in most House races. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 92.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed California districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national GOP surge, significant local turnout shifts, or unforeseen developments such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event to overcome the structural advantages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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