Virginia's 9th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 reflecting consistent overperformance for the party in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and name recognition in rural southwest Virginia. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local developments, both of which historical patterns in this district indicate are unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-09 House Election Winner
VA-09 House Election Winner
$44,915 Vol.
$44,915 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$44,915 Vol.
$44,915 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$33,495 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$11,420 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 reflecting consistent overperformance for the party in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and name recognition in rural southwest Virginia. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local developments, both of which historical patterns in this district indicate are unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,915Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 reflecting consistent overperformance for the party in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and name recognition in rural southwest Virginia. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local developments, both of which historical patterns in this district indicate are unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,915Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats nationally, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22 reflecting consistent overperformance for the party in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November 3 general election with substantial fundraising and name recognition in rural southwest Virginia. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local developments, both of which historical patterns in this district indicate are unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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