Tennessee's 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Diana Harshbarger at 96.9%. Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term after victories exceeding 78% in prior cycles, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in her August primary but trails significantly in fundraising. Republicans have held the northeast Tennessee seat since 1881, with recent redistricting further solidifying the advantage. The November 3 general election includes several independents, yet historical turnout patterns and district fundamentals leave little room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or sharp national realignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
4%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Diana Harshbarger at 96.9%. Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term after victories exceeding 78% in prior cycles, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in her August primary but trails significantly in fundraising. Republicans have held the northeast Tennessee seat since 1881, with recent redistricting further solidifying the advantage. The November 3 general election includes several independents, yet historical turnout patterns and district fundamentals leave little room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or sharp national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,113Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Diana Harshbarger at 96.9%. Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term after victories exceeding 78% in prior cycles, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in her August primary but trails significantly in fundraising. Republicans have held the northeast Tennessee seat since 1881, with recent redistricting further solidifying the advantage. The November 3 general election includes several independents, yet historical turnout patterns and district fundamentals leave little room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or sharp national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,113Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Diana Harshbarger at 96.9%. Harshbarger, seeking a fourth term after victories exceeding 78% in prior cycles, faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in her August primary but trails significantly in fundraising. Republicans have held the northeast Tennessee seat since 1881, with recent redistricting further solidifying the advantage. The November 3 general election includes several independents, yet historical turnout patterns and district fundamentals leave little room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or sharp national realignment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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