Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
MA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$35,179 Vol.
$35,179 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$35,179 Vol.
$35,179 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$23,458 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$11,721 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$35,179Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,179Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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