Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
MA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$63,229 Vol.
$63,229 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$63,229 Vol.
$63,229 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$35,223 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$28,006 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,229Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,229Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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