New Jersey's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+15 and voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Anthony Valdes in the general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability due to these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for the area.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
$14,815 Vol.
$14,815 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,815 Vol.
$14,815 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$9,415 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$5,400 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+15 and voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Anthony Valdes in the general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability due to these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for the area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,815Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+15 and voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Anthony Valdes in the general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability due to these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for the area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,815Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+15 and voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin. Incumbent Representative Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Anthony Valdes in the general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's history and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability due to these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for the area.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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