Incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 70% of the vote, positioning the party for a strong general election performance in New Jersey’s 8th district. The seat features heavy Democratic registration advantages and a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, consistent with historical outcomes in this Hudson and Essex County area. Traders reflect this structural edge through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee over the Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout, or national midterm shifts could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
$12,768 Vol.
$12,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,768 Vol.
$12,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$7,713 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,055 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 70% of the vote, positioning the party for a strong general election performance in New Jersey’s 8th district. The seat features heavy Democratic registration advantages and a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, consistent with historical outcomes in this Hudson and Essex County area. Traders reflect this structural edge through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee over the Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout, or national midterm shifts could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$12,768Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 70% of the vote, positioning the party for a strong general election performance in New Jersey’s 8th district. The seat features heavy Democratic registration advantages and a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, consistent with historical outcomes in this Hudson and Essex County area. Traders reflect this structural edge through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee over the Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout, or national midterm shifts could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,768Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 70% of the vote, positioning the party for a strong general election performance in New Jersey’s 8th district. The seat features heavy Democratic registration advantages and a partisan voting index exceeding D+15, consistent with historical outcomes in this Hudson and Essex County area. Traders reflect this structural edge through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee over the Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout, or national midterm shifts could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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