The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean drives the current trader consensus, as the majority-Hispanic area along the Mexico border has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with roughly 70 percent of the vote following her father's death, and she faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest before the November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. While the frontrunner position appears durable, outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge, none of which have materialized in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,090 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$4,355 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean drives the current trader consensus, as the majority-Hispanic area along the Mexico border has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with roughly 70 percent of the vote following her father's death, and she faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest before the November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. While the frontrunner position appears durable, outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge, none of which have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,445Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean drives the current trader consensus, as the majority-Hispanic area along the Mexico border has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with roughly 70 percent of the vote following her father's death, and she faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest before the November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. While the frontrunner position appears durable, outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge, none of which have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,445Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arizona 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean drives the current trader consensus, as the majority-Hispanic area along the Mexico border has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with roughly 70 percent of the vote following her father's death, and she faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 2026 contest before the November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. While the frontrunner position appears durable, outcomes could shift only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge, none of which have materialized in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti