Chris McGowan holds a commanding lead in the IA-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, while Democrat David Dawson advanced from a three-way primary with under 40 percent of the vote. McGowan's substantial fundraising advantage and local economic development profile have reinforced trader consensus around his prospects. A narrow path for Dawson would require major shifts in turnout among rural and agricultural voters or unforeseen national developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$41,426 Vol.
$41,426 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
95%
David Dawson (D)
6%
$41,426 Vol.
$41,426 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
$23,845 Vol.
95%
David Dawson (D)
$17,582 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris McGowan holds a commanding lead in the IA-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, while Democrat David Dawson advanced from a three-way primary with under 40 percent of the vote. McGowan's substantial fundraising advantage and local economic development profile have reinforced trader consensus around his prospects. A narrow path for Dawson would require major shifts in turnout among rural and agricultural voters or unforeseen national developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$41,426Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris McGowan holds a commanding lead in the IA-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, while Democrat David Dawson advanced from a three-way primary with under 40 percent of the vote. McGowan's substantial fundraising advantage and local economic development profile have reinforced trader consensus around his prospects. A narrow path for Dawson would require major shifts in turnout among rural and agricultural voters or unforeseen national developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,426Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRisolutore
0x2f5e3684c...Chris McGowan holds a commanding lead in the IA-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 25 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying the open seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce, secured the GOP nomination unopposed after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, while Democrat David Dawson advanced from a three-way primary with under 40 percent of the vote. McGowan's substantial fundraising advantage and local economic development profile have reinforced trader consensus around his prospects. A narrow path for Dawson would require major shifts in turnout among rural and agricultural voters or unforeseen national developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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