The solidly Democratic character of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s North Shore suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss secured the March 2026 Democratic primary and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A national Republican wave election or unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make an upset improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$31,610 Vol.
$31,610 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$31,610 Vol.
$31,610 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$17,356 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$14,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s North Shore suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss secured the March 2026 Democratic primary and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A national Republican wave election or unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,610Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s North Shore suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss secured the March 2026 Democratic primary and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A national Republican wave election or unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,610Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s North Shore suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss secured the March 2026 Democratic primary and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. A national Republican wave election or unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make an upset improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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