The Missouri referendum on the 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map (Proposition A, or HB 1) appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot after the state Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the measure qualifies and suspended the new lines pending voter approval, reverting to 2022 boundaries for the general election. The secretary of state certified the referendum on September 8 following the decision, though further appeals remain possible. Traders assign a 55% probability to rejection in part because opponents gathered over 300,000 signatures to qualify the measure, Missouri voters have historically blocked legislative redistricting changes via referendum, and the map originated as a mid-decade partisan adjustment aimed at altering the state's congressional delegation. The outcome hinges on turnout and messaging around direct democracy and district boundaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
62% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
62% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). The Missouri referendum on the 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map (Proposition A, or HB 1) appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot after the state Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the measure qualifies and suspended the new lines pending voter approval, reverting to 2022 boundaries for the general election. The secretary of state certified the referendum on September 8 following the decision, though further appeals remain possible. Traders assign a 55% probability to rejection in part because opponents gathered over 300,000 signatures to qualify the measure, Missouri voters have historically blocked legislative redistricting changes via referendum, and the map originated as a mid-decade partisan adjustment aimed at altering the state's congressional delegation. The outcome hinges on turnout and messaging around direct democracy and district boundaries.
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$95Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). The Missouri referendum on the 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map (Proposition A, or HB 1) appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot after the state Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the measure qualifies and suspended the new lines pending voter approval, reverting to 2022 boundaries for the general election. The secretary of state certified the referendum on September 8 following the decision, though further appeals remain possible. Traders assign a 55% probability to rejection in part because opponents gathered over 300,000 signatures to qualify the measure, Missouri voters have historically blocked legislative redistricting changes via referendum, and the map originated as a mid-decade partisan adjustment aimed at altering the state's congressional delegation. The outcome hinges on turnout and messaging around direct democracy and district boundaries.
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volume
$95Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Missouri referendum on the 2025 Republican-drawn congressional map (Proposition A, or HB 1) appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot after the state Supreme Court unanimously ruled on September 3 that the measure qualifies and suspended the new lines pending voter approval, reverting to 2022 boundaries for the general election. The secretary of state certified the referendum on September 8 following the decision, though further appeals remain possible. Traders assign a 55% probability to rejection in part because opponents gathered over 300,000 signatures to qualify the measure, Missouri voters have historically blocked legislative redistricting changes via referendum, and the map originated as a mid-decade partisan adjustment aimed at altering the state's congressional delegation. The outcome hinges on turnout and messaging around direct democracy and district boundaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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