Incumbent Senator Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, drawing Rep. Chris Pappas as the dominant Democratic primary frontrunner with 60-70% support in recent polls and endorsements from Shaheen, Kuster, and national figures, bolstered by $6.5 million in fundraising. On the Republican side, former Sen. John Sununu leads Scott Brown in primaries via Trump endorsement and polls like Emerson's late March survey (Sununu 48%-19%), but general election matchups show Pappas edging Sununu 45%-44% and Brown 48%-39% (Emerson/St. Anselm, March 2026). Trader consensus at 85.5% Democratic reflects Pappas' incumbency-like popularity in the all-Democratic federal delegation state, historical polling edges for Senate holders, and Sununu's 2008 loss despite a competitive Lean D rating from Cook Political Report, ahead of September 8 primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$19,893 Vol.
$19,893 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
86%
Republican
13%
$19,893 Vol.
$19,893 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$14,295 Vol.
86%
Republican
$5,598 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Senator Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, drawing Rep. Chris Pappas as the dominant Democratic primary frontrunner with 60-70% support in recent polls and endorsements from Shaheen, Kuster, and national figures, bolstered by $6.5 million in fundraising. On the Republican side, former Sen. John Sununu leads Scott Brown in primaries via Trump endorsement and polls like Emerson's late March survey (Sununu 48%-19%), but general election matchups show Pappas edging Sununu 45%-44% and Brown 48%-39% (Emerson/St. Anselm, March 2026). Trader consensus at 85.5% Democratic reflects Pappas' incumbency-like popularity in the all-Democratic federal delegation state, historical polling edges for Senate holders, and Sununu's 2008 loss despite a competitive Lean D rating from Cook Political Report, ahead of September 8 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,893Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Senator Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, drawing Rep. Chris Pappas as the dominant Democratic primary frontrunner with 60-70% support in recent polls and endorsements from Shaheen, Kuster, and national figures, bolstered by $6.5 million in fundraising. On the Republican side, former Sen. John Sununu leads Scott Brown in primaries via Trump endorsement and polls like Emerson's late March survey (Sununu 48%-19%), but general election matchups show Pappas edging Sununu 45%-44% and Brown 48%-39% (Emerson/St. Anselm, March 2026). Trader consensus at 85.5% Democratic reflects Pappas' incumbency-like popularity in the all-Democratic federal delegation state, historical polling edges for Senate holders, and Sununu's 2008 loss despite a competitive Lean D rating from Cook Political Report, ahead of September 8 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$19,893Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Senator Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, drawing Rep. Chris Pappas as the dominant Democratic primary frontrunner with 60-70% support in recent polls and endorsements from Shaheen, Kuster, and national figures, bolstered by $6.5 million in fundraising. On the Republican side, former Sen. John Sununu leads Scott Brown in primaries via Trump endorsement and polls like Emerson's late March survey (Sununu 48%-19%), but general election matchups show Pappas edging Sununu 45%-44% and Brown 48%-39% (Emerson/St. Anselm, March 2026). Trader consensus at 85.5% Democratic reflects Pappas' incumbency-like popularity in the all-Democratic federal delegation state, historical polling edges for Senate holders, and Sununu's 2008 loss despite a competitive Lean D rating from Cook Political Report, ahead of September 8 primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti