Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary for the open Maine governorship, following term limits that barred incumbent Janet Mills from seeking a third consecutive term. Recent polling from August shows Pingree holding a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Robert Charles and independent Rick Bennett, reflecting Maine’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide races and the nominee’s established profile in state politics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 95% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where the party has maintained an edge in gubernatorial contests. A narrow polling margin or late developments such as shifts in ranked-choice voting dynamics could still influence the November result, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$28,312 Vol.
$28,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
5%
$28,312 Vol.
$28,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$22,360 Vol.
95%
Republican
$5,952 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary for the open Maine governorship, following term limits that barred incumbent Janet Mills from seeking a third consecutive term. Recent polling from August shows Pingree holding a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Robert Charles and independent Rick Bennett, reflecting Maine’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide races and the nominee’s established profile in state politics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 95% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where the party has maintained an edge in gubernatorial contests. A narrow polling margin or late developments such as shifts in ranked-choice voting dynamics could still influence the November result, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$28,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary for the open Maine governorship, following term limits that barred incumbent Janet Mills from seeking a third consecutive term. Recent polling from August shows Pingree holding a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Robert Charles and independent Rick Bennett, reflecting Maine’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide races and the nominee’s established profile in state politics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 95% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where the party has maintained an edge in gubernatorial contests. A narrow polling margin or late developments such as shifts in ranked-choice voting dynamics could still influence the November result, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$28,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary for the open Maine governorship, following term limits that barred incumbent Janet Mills from seeking a third consecutive term. Recent polling from August shows Pingree holding a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Robert Charles and independent Rick Bennett, reflecting Maine’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide races and the nominee’s established profile in state politics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 95% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns where the party has maintained an edge in gubernatorial contests. A narrow polling margin or late developments such as shifts in ranked-choice voting dynamics could still influence the November result, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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