Incumbent Democratic Governor Janet Mills is term-limited after two consecutive terms, opening the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race and prompting her Senate bid, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to retain the office, reflecting forecasters' Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent New York Times-updated polls through March show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 25-35% across surveys from University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Research, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican Bobby Charles tops his fragmented field at 28%. With no general election polls yet and June 9 ranked-choice primaries approaching, the lack of a dominant GOP contender sustains Democratic favoritism amid Maine's recent gubernatorial history favoring the party. Late developments like candidate withdrawals and fundraising reports have not shifted dynamics significantly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$3,510 Vol.
90%
Republican
$3,053 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Janet Mills is term-limited after two consecutive terms, opening the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race and prompting her Senate bid, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to retain the office, reflecting forecasters' Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent New York Times-updated polls through March show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 25-35% across surveys from University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Research, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican Bobby Charles tops his fragmented field at 28%. With no general election polls yet and June 9 ranked-choice primaries approaching, the lack of a dominant GOP contender sustains Democratic favoritism amid Maine's recent gubernatorial history favoring the party. Late developments like candidate withdrawals and fundraising reports have not shifted dynamics significantly.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$6,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Janet Mills is term-limited after two consecutive terms, opening the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race and prompting her Senate bid, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to retain the office, reflecting forecasters' Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent New York Times-updated polls through March show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 25-35% across surveys from University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Research, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican Bobby Charles tops his fragmented field at 28%. With no general election polls yet and June 9 ranked-choice primaries approaching, the lack of a dominant GOP contender sustains Democratic favoritism amid Maine's recent gubernatorial history favoring the party. Late developments like candidate withdrawals and fundraising reports have not shifted dynamics significantly.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Janet Mills is term-limited after two consecutive terms, opening the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race and prompting her Senate bid, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89.5% implied probability to retain the office, reflecting forecasters' Likely Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Recent New York Times-updated polls through March show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 25-35% across surveys from University of New Hampshire, Impact Research, and Hart Research, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican Bobby Charles tops his fragmented field at 28%. With no general election polls yet and June 9 ranked-choice primaries approaching, the lack of a dominant GOP contender sustains Democratic favoritism amid Maine's recent gubernatorial history favoring the party. Late developments like candidate withdrawals and fundraising reports have not shifted dynamics significantly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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