With primaries on August 4 still five months away, trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open gubernatorial race at 66%, reflecting recent polls like Impact Research (late March) showing frontrunner Jocelyn Benson leading John James 40%-36% in a three-way matchup with independent Mike Duggan at 20%. Term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's 50% approval bolsters Democratic prospects in this battleground state, while President Trump's 39% approval weighs on Republicans amid a fragmented GOP primary where James holds a slim edge over Perry Johnson and Mike Cox per Emerson and OnMessage surveys. Midterm turnout dynamics and Whitmer's down-ballot strength further tilt implied probabilities toward Democrats despite the contest's competitiveness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$174,536 Vol.
$174,536 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
67%
Repubblicano
17%
$174,536 Vol.
$174,536 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$36,261 Vol.
67%
Repubblicano
$138,276 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries on August 4 still five months away, trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open gubernatorial race at 66%, reflecting recent polls like Impact Research (late March) showing frontrunner Jocelyn Benson leading John James 40%-36% in a three-way matchup with independent Mike Duggan at 20%. Term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's 50% approval bolsters Democratic prospects in this battleground state, while President Trump's 39% approval weighs on Republicans amid a fragmented GOP primary where James holds a slim edge over Perry Johnson and Mike Cox per Emerson and OnMessage surveys. Midterm turnout dynamics and Whitmer's down-ballot strength further tilt implied probabilities toward Democrats despite the contest's competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$174,536Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries on August 4 still five months away, trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open gubernatorial race at 66%, reflecting recent polls like Impact Research (late March) showing frontrunner Jocelyn Benson leading John James 40%-36% in a three-way matchup with independent Mike Duggan at 20%. Term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's 50% approval bolsters Democratic prospects in this battleground state, while President Trump's 39% approval weighs on Republicans amid a fragmented GOP primary where James holds a slim edge over Perry Johnson and Mike Cox per Emerson and OnMessage surveys. Midterm turnout dynamics and Whitmer's down-ballot strength further tilt implied probabilities toward Democrats despite the contest's competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$174,536Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With primaries on August 4 still five months away, trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open gubernatorial race at 66%, reflecting recent polls like Impact Research (late March) showing frontrunner Jocelyn Benson leading John James 40%-36% in a three-way matchup with independent Mike Duggan at 20%. Term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's 50% approval bolsters Democratic prospects in this battleground state, while President Trump's 39% approval weighs on Republicans amid a fragmented GOP primary where James holds a slim edge over Perry Johnson and Mike Cox per Emerson and OnMessage surveys. Midterm turnout dynamics and Whitmer's down-ballot strength further tilt implied probabilities toward Democrats despite the contest's competitiveness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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