Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, as the district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a roughly 20-point Trump advantage in 2024. Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the nomination with over 75 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from a fragmented Democratic field. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Republican win aligns with the district's R+9 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns across Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties, and the absence of polling or developments indicating a competitive race. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a national midterm environment heavily favoring Democrats, unusually elevated suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues surfacing before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$26,487 Vol.
$26,487 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$16,898 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, as the district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a roughly 20-point Trump advantage in 2024. Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the nomination with over 75 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from a fragmented Democratic field. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Republican win aligns with the district's R+9 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns across Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties, and the absence of polling or developments indicating a competitive race. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a national midterm environment heavily favoring Democrats, unusually elevated suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues surfacing before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,487Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, as the district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a roughly 20-point Trump advantage in 2024. Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the nomination with over 75 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from a fragmented Democratic field. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Republican win aligns with the district's R+9 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns across Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties, and the absence of polling or developments indicating a competitive race. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a national midterm environment heavily favoring Democrats, unusually elevated suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues surfacing before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,487Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement has not altered the underlying partisan balance, as the district delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including a roughly 20-point Trump advantage in 2024. Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the nomination with over 75 percent in the March primary, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from a fragmented Democratic field. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Republican win aligns with the district's R+9 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns across Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Harris counties, and the absence of polling or developments indicating a competitive race. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a national midterm environment heavily favoring Democrats, unusually elevated suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues surfacing before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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