Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?
Politica·Svezia

Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?

icon for Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?
Politica·Svezia

Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?

Opposizione con 3-4 seggi 97.4%

Opposizione con 1-2 seggi 1.3%

Opposizione di 5–6 <1%

Opposizione con 7 o più <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Opposizione con 3-4 seggi 97.4%

Opposizione con 1-2 seggi 1.3%

Opposizione di 5–6 <1%

Opposizione con 7 o più <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Opposizione con 7 o più

$966 Vol.

<1%

Opposizione di 5–6

$205 Vol.

<1%

Opposizione con 3-4 seggi

$2,439 Vol.

97%

Opposizione con 1-2 seggi

$1,807 Vol.

1%

Tidö con 1-2

$1,217 Vol.

<1%

Tidö per 3-4

$426 Vol.

<1%

Tidö con 5+

$29 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L). For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C). Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement. If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The September 13 Swedish general election produced a narrow opposition victory in Riksdag seat distribution, with the Social Democrats-led bloc (S, V, MP, C) securing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L), a three-seat margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Late-counted advance and overseas ballots widened the gap after an initially tighter race on election night, and SVT’s model has ruled out any realistic Tidö comeback. This outcome reflects consistent pre-election polling trends favoring the opposition bloc by several percentage points in aggregate support, though final seat math hinged on turnout patterns and the 4% threshold. Remaining uncertainty centers on formal confirmation of the preliminary result and subsequent coalition negotiations, as either bloc could still face internal divisions when forming a government.

Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.

For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).

For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).

Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.

If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L). For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C). Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement. If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$7,090
Data di fine
1 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L). For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C). Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement. If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The September 13 Swedish general election produced a narrow opposition victory in Riksdag seat distribution, with the Social Democrats-led bloc (S, V, MP, C) securing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L), a three-seat margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Late-counted advance and overseas ballots widened the gap after an initially tighter race on election night, and SVT’s model has ruled out any realistic Tidö comeback. This outcome reflects consistent pre-election polling trends favoring the opposition bloc by several percentage points in aggregate support, though final seat math hinged on turnout patterns and the 4% threshold. Remaining uncertainty centers on formal confirmation of the preliminary result and subsequent coalition negotiations, as either bloc could still face internal divisions when forming a government.

Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.

For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).

For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).

Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.

If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L). For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C). Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement. If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$7,090
Data di fine
1 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: più voti a MP o KD?

Elezioni parlamentari svedesi: più voti a MP o KD?

2%
MP
icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?

Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?

99%
Over
icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

100%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Opposizione con 3-4 seggi" a 97%, seguito da "Opposizione con 1-2 seggi" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 16, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?" è "Opposizione con 3-4 seggi" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Opposizione con 1-2 seggi" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni in Svezia: Tidö contro il margine del seggio dell'opposizione?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.