Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper's strong fundraising—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026, bolstering his $4 million war chest—and secure primary ballot spot via petition in late March underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 90.5% to retain Colorado's U.S. Senate seat on November 3. Colorado's partisan lean and historical incumbent advantages in D-leaning states solidify this position, despite a fragmented Republican primary field featuring state Senator Mark Baisley and Janak Joshi, with no dominant challenger. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as Solid Democratic reinforce the outlook. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise GOP consolidation post-June 30 primaries, Hickenlooper primary upset by challenger Julie Gonzales, personal scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$31,381 Vol.
$31,381 Vol.

Democratico
91%

Repubblicano
10%
$31,381 Vol.
$31,381 Vol.

Democratico
91%

Repubblicano
10%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator John Hickenlooper's strong fundraising—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026, bolstering his $4 million war chest—and secure primary ballot spot via petition in late March underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 90.5% to retain Colorado's U.S. Senate seat on November 3. Colorado's partisan lean and historical incumbent advantages in D-leaning states solidify this position, despite a fragmented Republican primary field featuring state Senator Mark Baisley and Janak Joshi, with no dominant challenger. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections as Solid Democratic reinforce the outlook. Potential shifts could arise from a surprise GOP consolidation post-June 30 primaries, Hickenlooper primary upset by challenger Julie Gonzales, personal scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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