Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, combined with Harriet Hageman's decisive primary victory and her profile as the state's at-large House member, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on the open Senate seat. Cynthia Lummis's retirement created an open-seat dynamic, yet the August primaries confirmed Hageman as nominee against Democrat James Byrd with minimal opposition on the other side. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or dramatic national political shift would realistically alter the current trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$16,772 Vol.
$16,772 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
3%
$16,772 Vol.
$16,772 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican
$11,118 Vol.
96%
Democrat
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, combined with Harriet Hageman's decisive primary victory and her profile as the state's at-large House member, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on the open Senate seat. Cynthia Lummis's retirement created an open-seat dynamic, yet the August primaries confirmed Hageman as nominee against Democrat James Byrd with minimal opposition on the other side. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or dramatic national political shift would realistically alter the current trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,772Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, combined with Harriet Hageman's decisive primary victory and her profile as the state's at-large House member, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on the open Senate seat. Cynthia Lummis's retirement created an open-seat dynamic, yet the August primaries confirmed Hageman as nominee against Democrat James Byrd with minimal opposition on the other side. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or dramatic national political shift would realistically alter the current trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,772Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, combined with Harriet Hageman's decisive primary victory and her profile as the state's at-large House member, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a GOP hold on the open Senate seat. Cynthia Lummis's retirement created an open-seat dynamic, yet the August primaries confirmed Hageman as nominee against Democrat James Byrd with minimal opposition on the other side. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the frontrunner, or dramatic national political shift would realistically alter the current trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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