Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open Senate seat in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and other party leaders after incumbent Cynthia Lummis announced her retirement. The state’s strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide races, underpins trader consensus around her commanding position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his party’s primary with limited opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting Wyoming’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this deep-red state shows limited room for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$16,773 Vol.
$16,773 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,773 Vol.
$16,773 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,119 Vol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open Senate seat in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and other party leaders after incumbent Cynthia Lummis announced her retirement. The state’s strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide races, underpins trader consensus around her commanding position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his party’s primary with limited opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting Wyoming’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this deep-red state shows limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,773Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open Senate seat in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and other party leaders after incumbent Cynthia Lummis announced her retirement. The state’s strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide races, underpins trader consensus around her commanding position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his party’s primary with limited opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting Wyoming’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this deep-red state shows limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,773Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open Senate seat in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump and other party leaders after incumbent Cynthia Lummis announced her retirement. The state’s strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide races, underpins trader consensus around her commanding position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative who won his party’s primary with limited opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3 contest as solidly or safely Republican, reflecting Wyoming’s voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or structural shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in this deep-red state shows limited room for such reversals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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