Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid Republican, aligned with its R+5 partisan voting index and Carey's 56.5% margin in the prior general election. These structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive primary challenges for the incumbent, have supported trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The five-month campaign period ahead leaves scope for shifts driven by national conditions or candidate performance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$1,656 Vol.
70%
Democratic Party
$3,041 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid Republican, aligned with its R+5 partisan voting index and Carey's 56.5% margin in the prior general election. These structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive primary challenges for the incumbent, have supported trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The five-month campaign period ahead leaves scope for shifts driven by national conditions or candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$4,697Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid Republican, aligned with its R+5 partisan voting index and Carey's 56.5% margin in the prior general election. These structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive primary challenges for the incumbent, have supported trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The five-month campaign period ahead leaves scope for shifts driven by national conditions or candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,697Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid Republican, aligned with its R+5 partisan voting index and Carey's 56.5% margin in the prior general election. These structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and the absence of competitive primary challenges for the incumbent, have supported trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The five-month campaign period ahead leaves scope for shifts driven by national conditions or candidate performance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti