Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 84% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026 parliamentary election, driven by official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil showing Historic Pact leading with 42 seats, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 26—a seven-seat margin over the Conservative Party's 19. Final departmental proportional representation allocations, completed by late March, have reinforced this order amid low turnout and a fragmented Congress, with no significant recounts or legal challenges reported to date. Minor contenders like Cambio Radical (12 seats) trail distantly, reflecting stable vote distributions across the 32 departments and capital district. The market awaits formal certification ahead of the new Congress's July inauguration and May presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPartido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 99.0%
Cambio Radical (CR) 2.0%
Centro Democrático (CD) 1.7%
Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH) <1%
$13,958,428 Vol.
$13,958,428 Vol.
8 mar 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
82%
Cambio Radical (CR)
2%
Centro Democrático (CD)
2%
Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH)
<1%
Alleanza Verde (AV)
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservatore)
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
Coalizione MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 99.0%
Cambio Radical (CR) 2.0%
Centro Democrático (CD) 1.7%
Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH) <1%
$13,958,428 Vol.
$13,958,428 Vol.
8 mar 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$46,635 Vol.
82%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$1,431,728 Vol.
2%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$36,476 Vol.
2%
Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH)
$2,849,800 Vol.
<1%
Alleanza Verde (AV)
$1,339,177 Vol.
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservatore)
$1,216,222 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
$6,447,397 Vol.
<1%
Coalizione MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
$590,999 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 84% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026 parliamentary election, driven by official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil showing Historic Pact leading with 42 seats, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 26—a seven-seat margin over the Conservative Party's 19. Final departmental proportional representation allocations, completed by late March, have reinforced this order amid low turnout and a fragmented Congress, with no significant recounts or legal challenges reported to date. Minor contenders like Cambio Radical (12 seats) trail distantly, reflecting stable vote distributions across the 32 departments and capital district. The market awaits formal certification ahead of the new Congress's July inauguration and May presidential vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$13,958,428Data di fine
8 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 84% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026 parliamentary election, driven by official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil showing Historic Pact leading with 42 seats, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 26—a seven-seat margin over the Conservative Party's 19. Final departmental proportional representation allocations, completed by late March, have reinforced this order amid low turnout and a fragmented Congress, with no significant recounts or legal challenges reported to date. Minor contenders like Cambio Radical (12 seats) trail distantly, reflecting stable vote distributions across the 32 departments and capital district. The market awaits formal certification ahead of the new Congress's July inauguration and May presidential vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$13,958,428Data di fine
8 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 84% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026 parliamentary election, driven by official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil showing Historic Pact leading with 42 seats, Centro Democrático second at 30, and PLC third at 26—a seven-seat margin over the Conservative Party's 19. Final departmental proportional representation allocations, completed by late March, have reinforced this order amid low turnout and a fragmented Congress, with no significant recounts or legal challenges reported to date. Minor contenders like Cambio Radical (12 seats) trail distantly, reflecting stable vote distributions across the 32 departments and capital district. The market awaits formal certification ahead of the new Congress's July inauguration and May presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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