Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump remaining in office through April 30, driven by steep constitutional barriers to removal—no active impeachment proceedings in the House, no invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and the cabinet, and the near-impossibility of securing a two-thirds Senate conviction. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days, such as health crises, resignation signals, or major scandals, markets reflect the historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters during a second term. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden legal convictions with political fallout, unexpected incapacity, or bipartisan impeachment momentum, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 1 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$8,512,108 Vol.
$8,512,108 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$8,512,108 Vol.
$8,512,108 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump remaining in office through April 30, driven by steep constitutional barriers to removal—no active impeachment proceedings in the House, no invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and the cabinet, and the near-impossibility of securing a two-thirds Senate conviction. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days, such as health crises, resignation signals, or major scandals, markets reflect the historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters during a second term. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden legal convictions with political fallout, unexpected incapacity, or bipartisan impeachment momentum, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 1 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$8,512,108Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump remaining in office through April 30, driven by steep constitutional barriers to removal—no active impeachment proceedings in the House, no invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and the cabinet, and the near-impossibility of securing a two-thirds Senate conviction. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days, such as health crises, resignation signals, or major scandals, markets reflect the historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters during a second term. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden legal convictions with political fallout, unexpected incapacity, or bipartisan impeachment momentum, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 1 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,512,190Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.3% on President Trump remaining in office through April 30, driven by steep constitutional barriers to removal—no active impeachment proceedings in the House, no invocation of the 25th Amendment by Vice President Vance and the cabinet, and the near-impossibility of securing a two-thirds Senate conviction. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days, such as health crises, resignation signals, or major scandals, markets reflect the historical rarity of mid-term presidential ousters during a second term. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden legal convictions with political fallout, unexpected incapacity, or bipartisan impeachment momentum, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 1 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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