Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend, with the US demanding a 20-year moratorium on uranium enrichment and surrender of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile, while Tehran countered with a five-year pause, fueling trader consensus at 79.5% "No" for US acquisition by May 31. Vice President Vance led the talks amid an expiring ceasefire, but President Trump publicly rebuked the US proposal as insufficient, echoing earlier military options like a commando raid on Isfahan that were shelved as too risky. With no deal in sight despite Russian mediation offers and IAEA scrutiny looming, diplomats eye a second round, though entrenched positions on sanctions relief and stockpile transfer dim short-term prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti ottengono l'uranio arricchito iraniano entro il 31 maggio?
Gli Stati Uniti ottengono l'uranio arricchito iraniano entro il 31 maggio?
Sì
$2,783,669 Vol.
$2,783,669 Vol.
Sì
$2,783,669 Vol.
$2,783,669 Vol.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend, with the US demanding a 20-year moratorium on uranium enrichment and surrender of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile, while Tehran countered with a five-year pause, fueling trader consensus at 79.5% "No" for US acquisition by May 31. Vice President Vance led the talks amid an expiring ceasefire, but President Trump publicly rebuked the US proposal as insufficient, echoing earlier military options like a commando raid on Isfahan that were shelved as too risky. With no deal in sight despite Russian mediation offers and IAEA scrutiny looming, diplomats eye a second round, though entrenched positions on sanctions relief and stockpile transfer dim short-term prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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