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Geopolitica·Iran

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Market icon
Geopolitica·Iran

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

apr 15

apr 30

apr 15

apr 30

31% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
31% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's recent Truth Social post approximately four days ago marked the second instance of him publicly invoking "praise be to Allah," boasting about the elimination of Iranian leaders, destruction of their military assets, and U.S. efforts to clear the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating conflict with Iran and its proxies like the Houthis. This followed a similar sarcastic usage on Easter Sunday amid threats of airstrikes on Iranian infrastructure. With no further statements using the phrase in the past 48 hours despite ongoing diplomacy and military posturing, traders price a 69% implied probability on "No," viewing the expression as tied to specific boasts rather than recurring rhetoric, though Iran tensions could prompt shifts before the April 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$9,603
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Trump's recent Truth Social post approximately four days ago marked the second instance of him publicly invoking "praise be to Allah," boasting about the elimination of Iranian leaders, destruction of their military assets, and U.S. efforts to clear the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating conflict with Iran and its proxies like the Houthis. This followed a similar sarcastic usage on Easter Sunday amid threats of airstrikes on Iranian infrastructure. With no further statements using the phrase in the past 48 hours despite ongoing diplomacy and military posturing, traders price a 69% implied probability on "No," viewing the expression as tied to specific boasts rather than recurring rhetoric, though Iran tensions could prompt shifts before the April 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$9,603
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 31% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 31¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 31% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 13, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?" è 31% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 31% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.