President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran established a general policy amid escalating Middle East tensions and reports of potential Chinese arms shipments, but traders view it as non-qualifying for this market, which requires a specific tariff announcement tied to military cooperation with Iran by April 17. With under 24 hours remaining and no subsequent official statements, executive actions, or diplomatic escalations signaling an imminent declaration—despite recent Chinese denials of aid to Tehran and U.S. naval blockade enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz—market consensus implies 98% probability of "No." A last-minute White House announcement or verified evidence of foreign military support to Iran could shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely given the tight timeline and focus on broader foreign policy pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump annuncia tariffe per la cooperazione militare iraniana entro il 17 aprile?
Trump annuncia tariffe per la cooperazione militare iraniana entro il 17 aprile?
Sì
$61,942 Vol.
$61,942 Vol.
17 apr 2026
Sì
$61,942 Vol.
$61,942 Vol.
17 apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran established a general policy amid escalating Middle East tensions and reports of potential Chinese arms shipments, but traders view it as non-qualifying for this market, which requires a specific tariff announcement tied to military cooperation with Iran by April 17. With under 24 hours remaining and no subsequent official statements, executive actions, or diplomatic escalations signaling an imminent declaration—despite recent Chinese denials of aid to Tehran and U.S. naval blockade enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz—market consensus implies 98% probability of "No." A last-minute White House announcement or verified evidence of foreign military support to Iran could shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely given the tight timeline and focus on broader foreign policy pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$61,942Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran established a general policy amid escalating Middle East tensions and reports of potential Chinese arms shipments, but traders view it as non-qualifying for this market, which requires a specific tariff announcement tied to military cooperation with Iran by April 17. With under 24 hours remaining and no subsequent official statements, executive actions, or diplomatic escalations signaling an imminent declaration—despite recent Chinese denials of aid to Tehran and U.S. naval blockade enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz—market consensus implies 98% probability of "No." A last-minute White House announcement or verified evidence of foreign military support to Iran could shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely given the tight timeline and focus on broader foreign policy pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.
Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.
A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,942Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 8 Truth Social post threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran established a general policy amid escalating Middle East tensions and reports of potential Chinese arms shipments, but traders view it as non-qualifying for this market, which requires a specific tariff announcement tied to military cooperation with Iran by April 17. With under 24 hours remaining and no subsequent official statements, executive actions, or diplomatic escalations signaling an imminent declaration—despite recent Chinese denials of aid to Tehran and U.S. naval blockade enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz—market consensus implies 98% probability of "No." A last-minute White House announcement or verified evidence of foreign military support to Iran could shift odds, though such developments remain unlikely given the tight timeline and focus on broader foreign policy pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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