President Trump's scheduled remarks at Turning Point USA's "Build the Red Wall" event on April 17 at Dream City Church in Phoenix—formerly attended by late founder Charlie Kirk—anchor trader consensus on familiar rally phrasing, with high implied probabilities for staples like "radical left," repeated uses of "beautiful," and culture-war terms such as "transgender." Arizona's border-state status and midterm-year timing elevate bets on immigration references including "Venezuela," while venue ties boost odds for "Charlie/Kirk" mentions alongside Erika Kirk, current TPUSA CEO. Recent confirmations from Press Secretary Leavitt and Rep. Andy Biggs' involvement reinforce expectations of base-rallying rhetoric mirroring prior conservative addresses, absent any leaked previews or disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMillion / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
37%
Sleepy / Biden / Obama 10+ times
63%
God 10+ times
29%
Charlie / Kirk 5+ times
63%
Beautiful 3+ times
68%
Hottest
61%
Make America Great Again
63%
TikTok
31%
Gay
25%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
41%
Moon / Astronaut
47%
Kamala
50%
Secret Service
33%
Christian
60%
Common sense
48%
No No No
47%
Woke
51%
Venezuela
50%
Lunatic / Lunacy
39%
Transgender
70%
Radical Left
70%
Pope
36%
Assassin / Assassinate
40%
Medal of Freedom
48%
Crypto / Bitcoin
9%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
$4,586 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
37%
Sleepy / Biden / Obama 10+ times
63%
God 10+ times
29%
Charlie / Kirk 5+ times
63%
Beautiful 3+ times
68%
Hottest
61%
Make America Great Again
63%
TikTok
31%
Gay
25%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
41%
Moon / Astronaut
47%
Kamala
50%
Secret Service
33%
Christian
60%
Common sense
48%
No No No
47%
Woke
51%
Venezuela
50%
Lunatic / Lunacy
39%
Transgender
70%
Radical Left
70%
Pope
36%
Assassin / Assassinate
40%
Medal of Freedom
48%
Crypto / Bitcoin
9%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026. (See: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scheduled remarks at Turning Point USA's "Build the Red Wall" event on April 17 at Dream City Church in Phoenix—formerly attended by late founder Charlie Kirk—anchor trader consensus on familiar rally phrasing, with high implied probabilities for staples like "radical left," repeated uses of "beautiful," and culture-war terms such as "transgender." Arizona's border-state status and midterm-year timing elevate bets on immigration references including "Venezuela," while venue ties boost odds for "Charlie/Kirk" mentions alongside Erika Kirk, current TPUSA CEO. Recent confirmations from Press Secretary Leavitt and Rep. Andy Biggs' involvement reinforce expectations of base-rallying rhetoric mirroring prior conservative addresses, absent any leaked previews or disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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