President Trump's recent criticisms of Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pontiff elected in May 2025, stem from the Pope's calls for de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict, labeling US strikes as morally provocative and urging dialogue over force. Trump responded sharply on April 12 via Truth Social, calling the Pope "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy," alongside an AI-generated image drawing backlash. Despite this exchange overshadowing the Pope's Algeria trip, traders price "No" at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Catholic solidarity statements from groups like Knights of Columbus, potential midterm voter risks for Republicans, and absence of scheduled events likely to prompt further public disparagement before April 30.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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30 apr 2026
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30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent criticisms of Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pontiff elected in May 2025, stem from the Pope's calls for de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict, labeling US strikes as morally provocative and urging dialogue over force. Trump responded sharply on April 12 via Truth Social, calling the Pope "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy," alongside an AI-generated image drawing backlash. Despite this exchange overshadowing the Pope's Algeria trip, traders price "No" at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Catholic solidarity statements from groups like Knights of Columbus, potential midterm voter risks for Republicans, and absence of scheduled events likely to prompt further public disparagement before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$6,258Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent criticisms of Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pontiff elected in May 2025, stem from the Pope's calls for de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict, labeling US strikes as morally provocative and urging dialogue over force. Trump responded sharply on April 12 via Truth Social, calling the Pope "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy," alongside an AI-generated image drawing backlash. Despite this exchange overshadowing the Pope's Algeria trip, traders price "No" at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Catholic solidarity statements from groups like Knights of Columbus, potential midterm voter risks for Republicans, and absence of scheduled events likely to prompt further public disparagement before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,258Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent criticisms of Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pontiff elected in May 2025, stem from the Pope's calls for de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict, labeling US strikes as morally provocative and urging dialogue over force. Trump responded sharply on April 12 via Truth Social, calling the Pope "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy," alongside an AI-generated image drawing backlash. Despite this exchange overshadowing the Pope's Algeria trip, traders price "No" at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting Catholic solidarity statements from groups like Knights of Columbus, potential midterm voter risks for Republicans, and absence of scheduled events likely to prompt further public disparagement before April 30.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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