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Politica·Trump

Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?

Market icon
Politica·Trump

Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?

Kevin Warsh 94.2%

Judy Shelton 1.4%

Michelle Bowman 1.4%

Jerome Powell <1%

Polymarket

$29,970,711 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 94.2%

Judy Shelton 1.4%

Michelle Bowman 1.4%

Jerome Powell <1%

Polymarket

$29,970,711 Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$5,870,636 Vol.

94%

Judy Shelton

$12,753,201 Vol.

1%

Kevin Hassett

$1,241,118 Vol.

1%

Christopher Waller

$1,369,582 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,199,425 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$993,520 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$3,194,897 Vol.

<1%

Rick Reider

$898,935 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$2,449,448 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kevin Warsh's commanding trader consensus stems from his status as President Trump's official nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, formally transmitted to the Senate in early March following the January announcement.** The Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 21 signals advancing momentum toward succeeding Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, with strong GOP support on the panel voiced by figures like Scott Bessent. Recent White House praise and Trump's comments on anticipated rate cuts under Warsh reinforce expectations of approval amid Republican Senate control. Challenges could arise from Democratic holds over perceived independence risks, unexpected hearing testimony, filibuster threats, or withdrawal, though historical confirmation patterns for nominees favor passage absent major scandals.

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,970,711
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kevin Warsh's commanding trader consensus stems from his status as President Trump's official nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, formally transmitted to the Senate in early March following the January announcement.** The Senate Banking Committee's scheduling of Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 21 signals advancing momentum toward succeeding Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, with strong GOP support on the panel voiced by figures like Scott Bessent. Recent White House praise and Trump's comments on anticipated rate cuts under Warsh reinforce expectations of approval amid Republican Senate control. Challenges could arise from Democratic holds over perceived independence risks, unexpected hearing testimony, filibuster threats, or withdrawal, though historical confirmation patterns for nominees favor passage absent major scandals.

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,970,711
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kevin Warsh" a 94%, seguito da "Judy Shelton" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?" ha generato $30 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?" è "Kevin Warsh" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Judy Shelton" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà confermato come presidente della Fed?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.