The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings, supported by resilient labor market data including August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the 93.9% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. Elevated inflation from energy prices has prompted some officials to favor hikes, while analysts from Goldman Sachs and others project the first cuts only in mid-2027 as core PCE trends toward target. With no acute financial stress or recession signals evident, trader consensus reflects the low probability of unscheduled action outside the FOMC calendar. A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or sudden banking-sector disruption could still prompt reconsideration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$197,148 Vol.
$197,148 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$197,148 Vol.
$197,148 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings, supported by resilient labor market data including August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the 93.9% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. Elevated inflation from energy prices has prompted some officials to favor hikes, while analysts from Goldman Sachs and others project the first cuts only in mid-2027 as core PCE trends toward target. With no acute financial stress or recession signals evident, trader consensus reflects the low probability of unscheduled action outside the FOMC calendar. A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or sudden banking-sector disruption could still prompt reconsideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$197,148Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings, supported by resilient labor market data including August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the 93.9% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. Elevated inflation from energy prices has prompted some officials to favor hikes, while analysts from Goldman Sachs and others project the first cuts only in mid-2027 as core PCE trends toward target. With no acute financial stress or recession signals evident, trader consensus reflects the low probability of unscheduled action outside the FOMC calendar. A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or sudden banking-sector disruption could still prompt reconsideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$197,148Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% through multiple 2026 meetings, supported by resilient labor market data including August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the 93.9% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. Elevated inflation from energy prices has prompted some officials to favor hikes, while analysts from Goldman Sachs and others project the first cuts only in mid-2027 as core PCE trends toward target. With no acute financial stress or recession signals evident, trader consensus reflects the low probability of unscheduled action outside the FOMC calendar. A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or sudden banking-sector disruption could still prompt reconsideration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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