Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy spikes, combined with core PCE near 3.3% and a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment, has kept the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50-3.75% target range through the April FOMC meeting. Recent minutes highlight policymakers' focus on upside inflation risks and Middle East-related uncertainty, delaying any easing beyond gradual adjustments projected for late 2026 or 2027. With no acute financial or economic shock evident, market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus that scheduled data releases, including the May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, are unlikely to trigger an intermeeting emergency cut before year-end 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
Sì
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy spikes, combined with core PCE near 3.3% and a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment, has kept the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50-3.75% target range through the April FOMC meeting. Recent minutes highlight policymakers' focus on upside inflation risks and Middle East-related uncertainty, delaying any easing beyond gradual adjustments projected for late 2026 or 2027. With no acute financial or economic shock evident, market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus that scheduled data releases, including the May CPI on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC, are unlikely to trigger an intermeeting emergency cut before year-end 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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