Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the 1.5T-2.0T range at 39% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June listing with a $1.75 trillion valuation and potential to raise $75 billion—the largest ever. This reflects Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now serving millions globally, and Starship's rapid reusability milestones, including V3 booster tests slated for late April. Recent employee stock vesting acceleration signals timeline compression, while xAI merger rumors add AI-space synergies. Traders eye late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow as pivotal, though volatile markets or launch delays could pressure higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX
$1,807,971 Vol.
$1,807,971 Vol.
<1,0T
6%
1,0 T-1,5 T
5%
1,5 T-2,0 T
39%
2,0 T-2,5 T
22%
2,5T-3,0T
13%
3,0T-3,5T
12%
3,5T+
3%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa prima del 2028
3%
$1,807,971 Vol.
$1,807,971 Vol.
<1,0T
$62,380 Vol.
6%
1,0 T-1,5 T
$37,766 Vol.
5%
1,5 T-2,0 T
$52,377 Vol.
39%
2,0 T-2,5 T
$50,237 Vol.
22%
2,5T-3,0T
$807,276 Vol.
13%
3,0T-3,5T
$473,286 Vol.
12%
3,5T+
$56,438 Vol.
3%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa prima del 2028
$268,211 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the 1.5T-2.0T range at 39% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June listing with a $1.75 trillion valuation and potential to raise $75 billion—the largest ever. This reflects Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now serving millions globally, and Starship's rapid reusability milestones, including V3 booster tests slated for late April. Recent employee stock vesting acceleration signals timeline compression, while xAI merger rumors add AI-space synergies. Traders eye late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow as pivotal, though volatile markets or launch delays could pressure higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,807,971Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the 1.5T-2.0T range at 39% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June listing with a $1.75 trillion valuation and potential to raise $75 billion—the largest ever. This reflects Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now serving millions globally, and Starship's rapid reusability milestones, including V3 booster tests slated for late April. Recent employee stock vesting acceleration signals timeline compression, while xAI merger rumors add AI-space synergies. Traders eye late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow as pivotal, though volatile markets or launch delays could pressure higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,807,971Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap in the 1.5T-2.0T range at 39% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June listing with a $1.75 trillion valuation and potential to raise $75 billion—the largest ever. This reflects Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now serving millions globally, and Starship's rapid reusability milestones, including V3 booster tests slated for late April. Recent employee stock vesting acceleration signals timeline compression, while xAI merger rumors add AI-space synergies. Traders eye late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow as pivotal, though volatile markets or launch delays could pressure higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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