Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid a crowded tech IPO pipeline headlined by SpaceX's potential $1.75 trillion listing. No public registration statement, roadshow, or pricing details have emerged in the ensuing three months, underscoring typical delays in regulatory review and market timing for social platforms with $600 million trailing revenue but uncertain growth beyond gaming communities. Among valuation buckets, sub-$15 billion carries the highest 7.9% odds if an offering materializes, aligning with Discord's 2021 private valuation peak now pressured by competitive dynamics; key catalysts include any SEC disclosures or banker updates ahead of Q2 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarket cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Market cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 83%
<15 mld 8.0%
30 miliardi+ 1.8%
15–20 miliardi 1.4%
$850,072 Vol.
$850,072 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
8%
15–20 miliardi
1%
20–25 miliardi
1%
25–30 miliardi
1%
30 miliardi+
2%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
83%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 83%
<15 mld 8.0%
30 miliardi+ 1.8%
15–20 miliardi 1.4%
$850,072 Vol.
$850,072 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
$294,998 Vol.
8%
15–20 miliardi
$105,941 Vol.
1%
20–25 miliardi
$72,054 Vol.
1%
25–30 miliardi
$99,886 Vol.
1%
30 miliardi+
$90,529 Vol.
2%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$186,663 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid a crowded tech IPO pipeline headlined by SpaceX's potential $1.75 trillion listing. No public registration statement, roadshow, or pricing details have emerged in the ensuing three months, underscoring typical delays in regulatory review and market timing for social platforms with $600 million trailing revenue but uncertain growth beyond gaming communities. Among valuation buckets, sub-$15 billion carries the highest 7.9% odds if an offering materializes, aligning with Discord's 2021 private valuation peak now pressured by competitive dynamics; key catalysts include any SEC disclosures or banker updates ahead of Q2 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$850,072Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid a crowded tech IPO pipeline headlined by SpaceX's potential $1.75 trillion listing. No public registration statement, roadshow, or pricing details have emerged in the ensuing three months, underscoring typical delays in regulatory review and market timing for social platforms with $600 million trailing revenue but uncertain growth beyond gaming communities. Among valuation buckets, sub-$15 billion carries the highest 7.9% odds if an offering materializes, aligning with Discord's 2021 private valuation peak now pressured by competitive dynamics; key catalysts include any SEC disclosures or banker updates ahead of Q2 resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$850,072Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid a crowded tech IPO pipeline headlined by SpaceX's potential $1.75 trillion listing. No public registration statement, roadshow, or pricing details have emerged in the ensuing three months, underscoring typical delays in regulatory review and market timing for social platforms with $600 million trailing revenue but uncertain growth beyond gaming communities. Among valuation buckets, sub-$15 billion carries the highest 7.9% odds if an offering materializes, aligning with Discord's 2021 private valuation peak now pressured by competitive dynamics; key catalysts include any SEC disclosures or banker updates ahead of Q2 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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