SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO at a valuation exceeding $2 trillion—up from an initial $1.75 trillion—has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's rapid subscriber expansion to global coverage via recent partnerships like US Mobile and Starship's accelerating reusability milestones enabling Mars ambitions. The post-filing boost in target valuation, alongside a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space operations, underpins optimism for blockbuster pricing, while lower bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) account for potential market volatility or execution slips. Key catalysts ahead include the late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid heated retail demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike inferiori)
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO SpaceX (strike inferiori)
Oltre 2,0T 46%
1,8T–2,0T 18%
1,6T–1,8T 13.9%
1,4T–1,6T 7.8%
$747,884 Vol.
$747,884 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
3%
<1,0T
4%
1,0T–1,2T
3%
1,2T–1,4T
4%
1,4T–1,6T
8%
1,6T–1,8T
14%
1,8T–2,0T
18%
Oltre 2,0T
46%
Oltre 2,0T 46%
1,8T–2,0T 18%
1,6T–1,8T 13.9%
1,4T–1,6T 7.8%
$747,884 Vol.
$747,884 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$153,560 Vol.
3%
<1,0T
$51,780 Vol.
4%
1,0T–1,2T
$31,545 Vol.
3%
1,2T–1,4T
$53,571 Vol.
4%
1,4T–1,6T
$101,517 Vol.
8%
1,6T–1,8T
$102,660 Vol.
14%
1,8T–2,0T
$83,489 Vol.
18%
Oltre 2,0T
$169,762 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO at a valuation exceeding $2 trillion—up from an initial $1.75 trillion—has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's rapid subscriber expansion to global coverage via recent partnerships like US Mobile and Starship's accelerating reusability milestones enabling Mars ambitions. The post-filing boost in target valuation, alongside a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space operations, underpins optimism for blockbuster pricing, while lower bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) account for potential market volatility or execution slips. Key catalysts ahead include the late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid heated retail demand.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$747,884Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO at a valuation exceeding $2 trillion—up from an initial $1.75 trillion—has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's rapid subscriber expansion to global coverage via recent partnerships like US Mobile and Starship's accelerating reusability milestones enabling Mars ambitions. The post-filing boost in target valuation, alongside a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space operations, underpins optimism for blockbuster pricing, while lower bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) account for potential market volatility or execution slips. Key catalysts ahead include the late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid heated retail demand.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$747,884Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, targeting a June 2026 IPO at a valuation exceeding $2 trillion—up from an initial $1.75 trillion—has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's rapid subscriber expansion to global coverage via recent partnerships like US Mobile and Starship's accelerating reusability milestones enabling Mars ambitions. The post-filing boost in target valuation, alongside a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space operations, underpins optimism for blockbuster pricing, while lower bins like 1.8T–2.0T (17.5%) account for potential market volatility or execution slips. Key catalysts ahead include the late-May prospectus release and early-June roadshow, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid heated retail demand.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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