Trader consensus favors below 2 inches of total April precipitation in Central Park at 59% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded through mid-month—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal—amid persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing low-pressure systems across the Northeast. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook indicates equal chances for near- or below-normal precipitation in the region under ENSO-neutral conditions, which historically correlate with average to drier springs rather than wet anomalies. Warmer-than-normal temperatures further limit convective rainfall potential. Key upcoming NWS forecast updates through month-end could shift odds if Atlantic storm tracks realign, though model ensembles currently show limited moisture influx.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitazioni a New York ad aprile?
Precipitazioni a New York ad aprile?
<2" 58.8%
2-3" 20%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 Vol.
$46,482 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<2"
59%
2-3"
20%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 58.8%
2-3" 20%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 Vol.
$46,482 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<2"
$10,003 Vol.
59%
2-3"
$12,172 Vol.
20%
3-4"
$9,357 Vol.
3%
4-5"
$12,853 Vol.
6%
5-6"
$1,052 Vol.
2%
>6"
$1,046 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 2 inches of total April precipitation in Central Park at 59% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded through mid-month—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal—amid persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing low-pressure systems across the Northeast. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook indicates equal chances for near- or below-normal precipitation in the region under ENSO-neutral conditions, which historically correlate with average to drier springs rather than wet anomalies. Warmer-than-normal temperatures further limit convective rainfall potential. Key upcoming NWS forecast updates through month-end could shift odds if Atlantic storm tracks realign, though model ensembles currently show limited moisture influx.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$46,482Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 2 inches of total April precipitation in Central Park at 59% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded through mid-month—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal—amid persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing low-pressure systems across the Northeast. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook indicates equal chances for near- or below-normal precipitation in the region under ENSO-neutral conditions, which historically correlate with average to drier springs rather than wet anomalies. Warmer-than-normal temperatures further limit convective rainfall potential. Key upcoming NWS forecast updates through month-end could shift odds if Atlantic storm tracks realign, though model ensembles currently show limited moisture influx.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,482Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors below 2 inches of total April precipitation in Central Park at 59% implied probability, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded through mid-month—only 9% of the 4.09-inch climatological normal—amid persistent high-pressure ridging suppressing low-pressure systems across the Northeast. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook indicates equal chances for near- or below-normal precipitation in the region under ENSO-neutral conditions, which historically correlate with average to drier springs rather than wet anomalies. Warmer-than-normal temperatures further limit convective rainfall potential. Key upcoming NWS forecast updates through month-end could shift odds if Atlantic storm tracks realign, though model ensembles currently show limited moisture influx.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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