Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Busan il 14 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Busan il 14 luglio?
31°C 43%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 lug 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
43%
32°C
24%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 lug 2026
26°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$185 Vol.
3%
29°C
$146 Vol.
6%
30°C
$95 Vol.
22%
31°C
$76 Vol.
43%
32°C
$216 Vol.
24%
33°C
$184 Vol.
3%
34°C
$329 Vol.
1%
35°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,606Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,606Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty for Busan's July 14 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely outcomes near 30–31°C amid typical mid-July monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include variable East Sea sea surface temperatures affecting marine air advection, afternoon convective cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, and steering patterns from the North Pacific high that may allow clearer skies for brief warming. Historical July averages around 29–30°C provide context, yet rapid shifts in humidity or localized sea breezes keep probabilities closely split between adjacent thresholds. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against these atmospheric variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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