With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 14—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders price totals under 130mm at 32.5% implied probability, below the historical April average near 150mm, amid a mostly dry first half despite the rainy season's onset. Forecasts from the Observatory signal normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueling contention with 140-150mm (23%) and 130-140mm (21%) close behind, as variable showers and thunderstorms could add 70-100mm in the remaining two weeks. Heavy rainstorms, tropical depressions, or prolonged fronts might surge totals toward 190mm+, while persistent dry spells would solidify the low-end lead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 34%
140-150mm 25%
130-140mm 23%
150-160mm 13%
$28,572 Vol.
$28,572 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<130mm
34%
130-140mm
22%
140-150mm
25%
150-160mm
13%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
11%
<130mm 34%
140-150mm 25%
130-140mm 23%
150-160mm 13%
$28,572 Vol.
$28,572 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<130mm
$13,162 Vol.
34%
130-140mm
$5,191 Vol.
22%
140-150mm
$5,687 Vol.
25%
150-160mm
$3,218 Vol.
13%
160-170mm
$247 Vol.
4%
190-200mm
$199 Vol.
2%
180-190
$211 Vol.
3%
190mm+
$658 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 14—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders price totals under 130mm at 32.5% implied probability, below the historical April average near 150mm, amid a mostly dry first half despite the rainy season's onset. Forecasts from the Observatory signal normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueling contention with 140-150mm (23%) and 130-140mm (21%) close behind, as variable showers and thunderstorms could add 70-100mm in the remaining two weeks. Heavy rainstorms, tropical depressions, or prolonged fronts might surge totals toward 190mm+, while persistent dry spells would solidify the low-end lead.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$28,572Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 14—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders price totals under 130mm at 32.5% implied probability, below the historical April average near 150mm, amid a mostly dry first half despite the rainy season's onset. Forecasts from the Observatory signal normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueling contention with 140-150mm (23%) and 130-140mm (21%) close behind, as variable showers and thunderstorms could add 70-100mm in the remaining two weeks. Heavy rainstorms, tropical depressions, or prolonged fronts might surge totals toward 190mm+, while persistent dry spells would solidify the low-end lead.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,572Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 14—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders price totals under 130mm at 32.5% implied probability, below the historical April average near 150mm, amid a mostly dry first half despite the rainy season's onset. Forecasts from the Observatory signal normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, fueling contention with 140-150mm (23%) and 130-140mm (21%) close behind, as variable showers and thunderstorms could add 70-100mm in the remaining two weeks. Heavy rainstorms, tropical depressions, or prolonged fronts might surge totals toward 190mm+, while persistent dry spells would solidify the low-end lead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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