NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate low solar activity persisting through April 30, 2026, with quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (planetary A indices below 20) and near-zero probability for G4 severe or G5 extreme geomagnetic storms, driving the market's 93.5% implied odds for "No major solar storm." Early April's G2-G3 events from a coronal mass ejection and corotating high-speed stream have fully dissipated, leaving subdued active regions and minimal M-class flare chances per the 27-day outlook. Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline further supports trader consensus. An unexpected X-class flare from a new complex active region with an Earth-directed halo CME could challenge this, though model consensus shows low near-term risk; watch weekly SWPC updates for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMajor solar storm by April 30?
Major solar storm by April 30?
$12,448 Vol.
$12,448 Vol.
30 apr 2026
$12,448 Vol.
$12,448 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate low solar activity persisting through April 30, 2026, with quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (planetary A indices below 20) and near-zero probability for G4 severe or G5 extreme geomagnetic storms, driving the market's 93.5% implied odds for "No major solar storm." Early April's G2-G3 events from a coronal mass ejection and corotating high-speed stream have fully dissipated, leaving subdued active regions and minimal M-class flare chances per the 27-day outlook. Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline further supports trader consensus. An unexpected X-class flare from a new complex active region with an Earth-directed halo CME could challenge this, though model consensus shows low near-term risk; watch weekly SWPC updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$12,448Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate low solar activity persisting through April 30, 2026, with quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (planetary A indices below 20) and near-zero probability for G4 severe or G5 extreme geomagnetic storms, driving the market's 93.5% implied odds for "No major solar storm." Early April's G2-G3 events from a coronal mass ejection and corotating high-speed stream have fully dissipated, leaving subdued active regions and minimal M-class flare chances per the 27-day outlook. Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline further supports trader consensus. An unexpected X-class flare from a new complex active region with an Earth-directed halo CME could challenge this, though model consensus shows low near-term risk; watch weekly SWPC updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$12,448Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts indicate low solar activity persisting through April 30, 2026, with quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (planetary A indices below 20) and near-zero probability for G4 severe or G5 extreme geomagnetic storms, driving the market's 93.5% implied odds for "No major solar storm." Early April's G2-G3 events from a coronal mass ejection and corotating high-speed stream have fully dissipated, leaving subdued active regions and minimal M-class flare chances per the 27-day outlook. Solar Cycle 25's post-peak decline further supports trader consensus. An unexpected X-class flare from a new complex active region with an Earth-directed halo CME could challenge this, though model consensus shows low near-term risk; watch weekly SWPC updates for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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