Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 6?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
71°F or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$452 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$706 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,059 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$841 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$609 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$430 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$226 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$168 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$439 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,280Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,280Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a post-holiday cooldown in Chicago, with northerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating after earlier heat. Model consensus favors a daily maximum near 77–80 °F on July 6, consistent with July climatological normals around 84 °F being tempered by the recent frontal passage. Trader emphasis on the 78–81 °F brackets reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins account for possible persistent stratus or brief showers. Higher outcomes remain low-probability tails tied to faster clearing or stronger southerly return flow. Short-range ensemble spread at this lead time centers on these narrow ranges, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations at official reporting sites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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