Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Seul il 7 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Seul il 7 luglio?
22°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,480 Vol.
$58,480 Vol.
7 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,480 Vol.
$58,480 Vol.
7 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
$6,045 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,862 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,123 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,412 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$8,362 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,260 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,538 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,952 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,013 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,201 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$2,713 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$58,480Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,480Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti