Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 7 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 7 luglio?
27°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,099 Vol.
$49,099 Vol.
7 lug 2026
21°C o inferiore
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sì
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o superiore
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,099 Vol.
$49,099 Vol.
7 lug 2026
21°C o inferiore
$1,632 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,177 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,947 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,841 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,396 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,412 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,587 Vol.
Sì
28°C
$7,915 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,767 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,272 Vol.
No
31°C o superiore
$6,153 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$49,099Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,099Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate a typical mid-July minimum clustered around 26–28°C, driven by the region's humid subtropical climate, persistent high humidity, and strong urban heat island effects that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on expected cloud cover, light wind patterns, and any onshore flow or scattered precipitation that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight temperature drops, with averages historically near 27°C. Trader consensus around these values reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes just 48 hours out, where ensemble guidance shows limited spread absent major synoptic shifts. Updated short-range model runs and official observations over the next day will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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