Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 26 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 26 luglio?
31°C 31%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
26°C or below
$241 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$93 Vol.
2%
28°C
$101 Vol.
4%
29°C
$109 Vol.
12%
30°C
$218 Vol.
29%
31°C
$134 Vol.
31%
32°C
$172 Vol.
20%
33°C
$156 Vol.
5%
34°C
$211 Vol.
2%
35°C
$133 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,709Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,709Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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