Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Seul il 26 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Seul il 26 luglio?
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,658 Vol.
$16,658 Vol.
26 lug 2026
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,658 Vol.
$16,658 Vol.
26 lug 2026
20°C o inferiore
$547 Vol.
No
21°C
$478 Vol.
No
22°C
$647 Vol.
No
23°C
$696 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,796 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,724 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,774 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$1,872 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,290 Vol.
No
29°C
$421 Vol.
No
30°C o superiore
$413 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,658Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,658Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader sentiment for Seoul’s July 26 minimum temperature reflects ensemble forecast consensus pointing to overnight lows near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and light southerly winds promote mixing that keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul further moderate minima relative to rural baselines. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly because model spread remains modest two days out, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, providing context for the current distribution, and updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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