Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 24 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 24 luglio?
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 10%
NUOVO
$19,444 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,444 Vol.
24 lug 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
33%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 10%
NUOVO
$19,444 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,444 Vol.
24 lug 2026
30°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$753 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,121 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,635 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,793 Vol.
33%
36°C
$1,852 Vol.
37%
37°C
$2,341 Vol.
17%
38°C
$2,674 Vol.
4%
39°C
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$19,444Data di fine
24 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,444Data di fine
24 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's July 24 maximum temperature centered near 35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering between 34–36 °C. Subtle differences hinge on the strength and timing of the western Pacific subtropical high, which steers warm, humid air from the East China Sea while modulating cloud cover and afternoon convection. A slightly stronger ridge would suppress thunderstorms and push readings toward 36 °C; increased moisture or sea-breeze cooling could cap the peak at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer humidity further narrow the spread, with traders weighting the latest CMA and ECMWF runs most heavily as the 48-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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