Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 23 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 23 luglio?
35°C 60%
36°C 24%
37°C 11%
34°C 7.1%
NUOVO
$61,702 Vol.
NUOVO
$61,702 Vol.
23 lug 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
60%
36°C
24%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
36°C 24%
37°C 11%
34°C 7.1%
NUOVO
$61,702 Vol.
NUOVO
$61,702 Vol.
23 lug 2026
30°C or below
$2,111 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,439 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,846 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,353 Vol.
7%
35°C
$9,515 Vol.
60%
36°C
$8,299 Vol.
24%
37°C
$7,446 Vol.
11%
38°C
$9,511 Vol.
1%
39°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$4,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$61,702Data di fine
23 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,702Data di fine
23 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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