Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seul il 23 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Seul il 23 luglio?
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 22%
26°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 lug 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C or higher
6%
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 22%
26°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 lug 2026
20°C or below
$356 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,281 Vol.
1%
25°C
$982 Vol.
3%
26°C
$608 Vol.
13%
27°C
$643 Vol.
29%
28°C
$1,231 Vol.
30%
29°C
$836 Vol.
22%
30°C or higher
$1,338 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$8,443Data di fine
23 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,443Data di fine
23 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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