Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 21 luglio?
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 6.4%
NUOVO
$25,817 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,817 Vol.
21 lug 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
29%
26°C
47%
27°C
21%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 6.4%
NUOVO
$25,817 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,817 Vol.
21 lug 2026
21°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,360 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,809 Vol.
6%
25°C
$6,475 Vol.
29%
26°C
$7,598 Vol.
47%
27°C
$2,816 Vol.
21%
28°C
$1,413 Vol.
1%
29°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$25,817Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,817Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 21 maximum near 26°C under partly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave. Small differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and weak southerly flow create a tight distribution across the 25–27°C range, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Historical July maxima average 24–25°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly with limited upside risk from stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated high-resolution runs and the next 12z cycle will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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