The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 21 luglio?
30°C 44%
29°C 30%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
30%
30°C
44%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 30%
31°C 21%
28°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 lug 2026
24°C o inferiore
$426 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$112 Vol.
1%
27°C
$129 Vol.
2%
28°C
$458 Vol.
8%
29°C
$303 Vol.
30%
30°C
$300 Vol.
44%
31°C
$368 Vol.
21%
32°C
$100 Vol.
3%
33°C
$164 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,630Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,630Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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