Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 19 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 19 luglio?
32°C 72%
33°C 25%
34°C 2.0%
35°C <1%
$135,400 Vol.
$135,400 Vol.
19 lug 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
72%
33°C
25%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 72%
33°C 25%
34°C 2.0%
35°C <1%
$135,400 Vol.
$135,400 Vol.
19 lug 2026
26°C or below
$345 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,229 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,752 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$17,376 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$19,264 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$27,915 Vol.
72%
33°C
$13,240 Vol.
25%
34°C
$14,230 Vol.
2%
35°C
$12,186 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$17,286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$135,400Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$135,400Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate Shanghai's July 19 maximum will most likely fall between 31–33°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds. A weakening subtropical ridge and increasing moisture from the East China Sea are expected to bring periods of cloud cover and light showers that limit afternoon heating, producing modest positive anomalies relative to the mid-July climatological average near 33°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and 48-hour model runs will refine whether boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals push readings toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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