Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 19 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 19 luglio?
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 Vol.
$125,701 Vol.
19 lug 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$125,701 Vol.
$125,701 Vol.
19 lug 2026
32°C or below
$6,395 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,593 Vol.
No
34°C
$23,961 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$39,846 Vol.
No
36°C
$18,842 Vol.
No
37°C
$11,119 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,974 Vol.
No
39°C
$4,797 Vol.
No
40°C
$765 Vol.
No
41°C
$494 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$916 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$125,701Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125,701Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate July 19 highs in Tel Aviv near 32–35°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of the region’s Mediterranean summer regime. This positions the 35°C bracket as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability because recent ensemble runs cluster around the upper end of July’s 30–33°C climatological average, with limited moisture or cloud cover to suppress daytime heating. Coastal sea-breeze moderation caps extreme spikes, while any slight delay in onshore winds or minor subsidence strengthening could push readings toward 36°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti